The reporter checked the flight dynamic software and found that there are still flights taking off and landing at the two airports in Chengdu today, but a large number of flights have been cancelled. The flight cancellation rate as of this afternoon was above 60%.
In terms of flight volume, the top five destination cities for outbound flights from Chengdu are Shanghai, Guangzhou, Hangzhou, Shenzhen and Changsha.
During the just-concluded summer travel period, Chengdu was the most popular travel city. Compared with the situation in 2019 before the epidemic, in the passenger throughput of Shuyun City in 2022, Chengdu will rise from the fourth to the first, Beijing and Guangzhou will be the second and third, and Shanghai will be the first. Second place dropped to sixth place.
Statistics from flight stewards show that among the 41 tens of millions airports in Shuyun in 2022, 24 will have a positive growth year-on-year in 2021. Except for Nanjing Lukou Airport (which will be under static management in 2021), there will be a year-on-year increase before 2021. The three airports are Chengdu Tianfu Airport (321.0%), Zhengzhou Xinzheng Airport (37.0%), and Hangzhou Xiaoshan Airport (22.7%). Even if the epidemic broke out in Chengdu at the end of the summer, the total number of inbound and outbound flights in Chengdu still ranks second in the country, second only to Beijing, an increase of 23.8% year-on-year in 2021.
In the first half of the Summer Games, which started in July, Hainan was also one of the main destinations for domestic tourists to fly to. On the eve of the Summer Games, the price of air tickets entering Hainan has risen, and airlines have replaced wide-body planes to fly to Hainan.
However, after entering August, the sudden outbreak of the epidemic and the escalation of prevention and control policies brought Hainan’s continued enthusiasm in the second half of the Summer Games to an abrupt end. The number of flights at Sanya Phoenix Airport will drop by 17.8% year-on-year in 2021, and Haikou Meilan will also drop by 22.2% year-on-year in 2021. The situation in Xinjiang, Tibet and other places is similar, and the number of flights gradually decreased in the second half of the summer.
The coldness of popular tourist destinations in the second half of Shuyun will directly affect the performance of the entire Shuyun civil aviation industry in 2022. Data from Flight Manager shows that in 2022, Shuyun Civil Aviation will perform 608,000 flights, the lowest level in the past four years.
In addition, in 2022, Shuyun civil aviation passenger traffic will be about 65.64 million, down 8.2% from 2021, down 23.0% from 2020, and about to recover to 54.5% in 2019. Among them, the domestic passenger traffic recovered to 61.2% of 2019, and the international market under the “Five Ones” policy, the passenger traffic was less than 2 percentage points in 2019.
but,where toLan Xiang, dean of the Big Data Research Institute, pointed out that the daily passenger traffic volume of this year’s summer transportation is relatively stable, and there is no rapid decline in the 2021 summer transportation, indicating that the effect of the impact of the epidemic is changing, and it is no longer the ups and downs as before. Ups and downs, once a nationwide epidemic occurs, the passenger flow will drop to the bottom, and it will continue for a long time. “Although the epidemic broke out in many cities in the late summer, it only affected a local market: an epidemic in a certain place will only affect the travel of passengers in that area, and will not affect passengers in other areas.”
From the perspective of air ticket prices, there has also been a decline in ticket prices in the second half of the summer transportation. In general, the economy class ticket price (excluding fuel tax) in 2022 will drop by 9.1% compared with 2021. In the first week of the Summer Games, the average ticket price at that time once exceeded that of 2021, and it was even difficult to get a ticket from Shanghai to Sanya.
According to the airline ticket data of flight stewards, in 2022, the average fare of economy class on TOP20 routes will only increase year-on-year on 4 routes, namely: Guangzhou Baiyun-Shanghai Hongqiao (46.1%), Guangzhou Baiyun-Kunming Changshui (33.2%) , Kunming Changshui-Shenzhen Baoan (7.4%), Shanghai Hongqiao-Shenzhen Baoan (5.0%), among which the average fare of Guangzhou Baiyun-Shanghai Hongqiao exceeds 1,000 yuan.
After the end of the summer, the Mid-Autumn Festival and the National Day holiday will follow. according toCtripThe “2022 Mid-Autumn Festival and Autumn Tour Forecast Data Report” released, as of August 30, the Mid-Autumn Festival holiday orders increased by 137% compared with the same period of the Dragon Boat Festival, of which the air ticket and train ticket orders increased by nearly 2 times and 5 times respectively, but the air ticket prices are welcome. Come to the depression.
According to Ctrip platform data, the price of a one-way tax-included air ticket during the Mid-Autumn Festival is 770 yuan, which is 20% lower than the average one-way price of 963 yuan during the summer, lower than the current National Day average price of 824 yuan, and the overall average air ticket price in September also remained at 750 yuan level around.